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Red147
3219135.9
1983182.1
4131124.0
Blue277
2046224.7
4205119.1
2907130.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301363100200400500600700800147277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.10.4
182.3182.6
Auto22.8
Teleop144.7
End11.6
blue by 42.6
224.70.6
224.9225.6
Auto21.8
Teleop182.1
End23.1
Second
3219
#34
135.90.1
148.5148.6
Auto21.3
Teleop98.8
End9.9
red by 5.9
2907
#33
130.01.0
130.7131.7
Auto17.1
Teleop98.6
End11.8
Third
4131
#37
124.00.8
139.9139.2
Auto15.2
Teleop90.6
End13.4
red by 4.9
4205
#26
119.11.2
118.3119.5
Auto17.6
Teleop92.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed