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Red366
4089127.3
5803178.8
4060121.4
Blue100
4469146.2
948145.0
4180101.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362900100200400500600700800366100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#10
178.80.1
182.2182.1
Auto21.8
Teleop127.1
End26.6
red by 32.6
4469
#30
146.20.0
154.0154.0
Auto16.2
Teleop111.0
End18.3
Second
4089
#17
127.30.2
126.1125.9
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End9.6
blue by 17.7
948
#14
145.00.4
148.6149.0
Auto19.7
Teleop112.3
End12.1
Third
4060
#21
121.40.9
120.7121.6
Auto16.2
Teleop94.8
End9.0
red by 20.1
4180
#23
101.30.5
108.7108.2
Auto16.7
Teleop80.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed