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Quarterfinal 2-12018 PNW District Mount Vernon Event
Red284
360163.6
4911166.3
4173115.0
Blue301
4915169.4
4450164.3
4512120.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335346100200300400500600284301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#5
166.30.2
166.7→166.5
Auto20.6
Teleop128.6
End15.3
blue by 3.1
4915
#9
169.40.4
166.7→167.1
Auto23.6
Teleop119.9
End27.1
Second
360
#6
163.60.5
162.7→163.2
Auto24.6
Teleop119.2
End20.5
blue by 0.7
4450
#8
164.30.4
161.6→162.0
Auto17.8
Teleop126.9
End20.4
Third
4173
#16
115.00.3
114.6→114.8
Auto15.3
Teleop88.8
End15.0
blue by 5.4
4512
#18
120.40.1
119.5→119.6
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4