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Red271
1318163.9
488158.1
3786111.5
Blue422
2147130.5
2910168.0
4682116.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452770100200400500600700271422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.90.6
162.5163.0
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
blue by 4.0
168.00.3
166.3166.6
Auto19.2
Teleop124.8
End22.9
Second
488
#2
158.10.4
157.2157.6
Auto19.8
Teleop123.4
End15.7
red by 27.6
130.50.8
127.0127.7
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
Third
3786
#26
111.50.0
111.5111.6
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End4.7
blue by 5.4
4682
#20
116.90.4
114.8115.3
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1