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Qual 112018 PNW District Mount Vernon Event
Red187
4089118.2
2903118.1
3238148.6
Blue264
488158.1
3826138.1
4205134.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563170100200400500600700187264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#15
148.66.2
119.6→125.8
Auto23.5
Teleop105.3
End24.0
blue by 9.5
488
#2
158.111.2
108.4→119.5
Auto19.8
Teleop123.4
End15.7
Second
4089
#11
118.210.9
88.9→99.7
Auto15.4
Teleop94.4
End9.9
blue by 19.8
3826
#13
138.15.8
109.1→115.0
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3
Third
2903
#34
118.18.3
95.4→103.7
Auto14.1
Teleop97.2
End9.9
blue by 15.9
4205
#29
134.012.6
94.1→106.8
Auto15.6
Teleop101.1
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed