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Qual 122018 PNW District Mount Vernon Event
Red158
4512120.4
2907111.1
468185.5
Blue239
4683100.9
2976138.1
4469138.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267272100150200250300350400450158239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4512
#18
120.46.5
90.6→97.1
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
blue by 18.3
4469
#19
138.85.0
119.1→124.1
Auto14.1
Teleop105.1
End23.4
Second
2907
#36
111.17.0
112.0→119.0
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End3.5
blue by 27.1
2976
#17
138.17.8
92.8→100.6
Auto17.0
Teleop107.7
End17.7
Third
4681
#39
85.56.3
97.5→103.8
Auto13.1
Teleop70.3
End1.5
blue by 15.5
4683
#35
100.99.1
84.4→93.5
Auto13.4
Teleop84.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed