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Red156
1899115.9
3812110.6
1595113.0
Blue375
2605140.3
5588134.8
4450164.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268293100200400500156375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#25
115.97.6
95.6103.2
Auto15.0
Teleop93.2
End8.8
blue by 48.4
164.38.2
109.3117.5
Auto17.8
Teleop126.9
End20.4
Second
1595
#31
113.06.1
115.7121.8
Auto15.0
Teleop89.2
End11.4
blue by 27.3
140.39.9
100.1110.0
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
Third
3812
#33
110.612.8
87.5100.3
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End10.1
blue by 24.2
5588
#14
134.86.6
107.5114.1
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed