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Red297
3268114.5
3663146.0
4205134.0
Blue147
3826138.1
4682116.9
1294108.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052560100200400500600297147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#12
146.02.6
132.0134.6
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
red by 7.9
3826
#13
138.13.4
115.0118.4
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3
Second
4205
#29
134.07.9
106.8114.7
Auto15.6
Teleop101.1
End18.5
red by 17.1
4682
#20
116.93.1
105.0108.1
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1
Third
3268
#24
114.56.7
95.8102.6
Auto14.9
Teleop89.8
End12.4
red by 6.1
1294
#38
108.46.0
107.1113.1
Auto14.8
Teleop80.5
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed