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Red174
2930153.3
2976138.1
360163.6
Blue255
4089118.2
3663146.0
4682116.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309291150200250350400450174255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#6
163.613.1
101.2114.3
Auto24.6
Teleop119.2
End20.5
red by 17.6
3663
#12
146.012.0
112.0124.0
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
Second
2930
#22
153.313.3
99.4112.7
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
red by 35.0
4089
#11
118.216.2
72.688.9
Auto15.4
Teleop94.4
End9.9
Third
2976
#17
138.115.7
77.192.8
Auto17.0
Teleop107.7
End17.7
red by 21.2
4682
#20
116.915.5
79.194.6
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed