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Red204
5588134.8
1899115.9
1318163.9
Blue202
2903118.1
4915169.4
2980131.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122900100200400500600204202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.912.6
106.5119.1
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
blue by 5.4
169.412.9
103.3116.2
Auto23.6
Teleop119.9
End27.1
Second
5588
#14
134.813.9
93.6107.5
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End10.8
red by 3.6
2980
#21
131.215.3
80.595.8
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
Third
1899
#25
115.915.4
80.295.6
Auto15.0
Teleop93.2
End8.8
blue by 2.2
2903
#34
118.115.4
80.095.4
Auto14.1
Teleop97.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed