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Red256
2907111.1
2930153.3
3826138.1
Blue260
5588134.8
468185.5
3663146.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276277260265270275280285256260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#22
153.31.7
118.9120.6
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
red by 7.3
3663
#12
146.01.8
134.6136.4
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
Second
3826
#13
138.10.9
118.4119.3
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3
red by 3.3
5588
#14
134.86.7
114.1120.9
Auto18.2
Teleop106.2
End10.8
Third
2907
#36
111.13.6
119.0122.6
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End3.5
red by 25.6
4681
#39
85.51.9
107.1105.1
Auto13.1
Teleop70.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed