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Red264
1294108.4
4089118.2
2976138.1
Blue280
2147130.5
1899115.9
304975.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872310100200400500264280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#17
138.13.4
104.7108.1
Auto17.0
Teleop107.7
End17.7
red by 7.6
130.51.2
123.1124.3
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
Second
4089
#11
118.24.8
104.7109.5
Auto15.4
Teleop94.4
End9.9
red by 2.4
1899
#25
115.92.6
106.0108.5
Auto15.0
Teleop93.2
End8.8
Third
1294
#38
108.42.7
113.1115.7
Auto14.8
Teleop80.5
End12.4
red by 33.4
3049
#37
75.00.5
90.990.3
Auto13.1
Teleop62.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed