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Red15
2907111.1
4180121.8
304975.0
Blue407
1318163.9
4915169.4
7118105.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25131310020040050015407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#27
121.85.8
113.6119.4
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End13.0
blue by 47.6
169.46.6
136.7143.3
Auto23.6
Teleop119.9
End27.1
Second
2907
#36
111.13.9
125.7129.6
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End3.5
blue by 52.9
163.90.6
138.0138.6
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
Third
3049
#37
75.00.2
90.390.2
Auto13.1
Teleop62.5
End5.2
blue by 30.8
7118
#28
105.81.5
92.093.5
Auto15.0
Teleop81.8
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed