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Red246
3070138.8
4173115.0
2930153.3
Blue311
4512120.4
360163.6
2605140.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269306100200400500246311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#22
153.33.3
122.4125.7
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
blue by 10.3
360
#6
163.66.8
134.4141.2
Auto24.6
Teleop119.2
End20.5
Second
3070
#23
138.84.1
118.0122.1
Auto19.0
Teleop103.9
End15.5
blue by 1.5
140.30.2
121.2121.4
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
Third
4173
#16
115.02.4
105.7108.1
Auto15.3
Teleop88.8
End15.0
blue by 5.4
4512
#18
120.43.1
104.2107.3
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed