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Red177
4205134.0
4682116.9
4683100.9
Blue334
3826138.1
3663146.0
1595113.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153100100400500177334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4205
#29
134.02.3
120.0122.3
Auto15.6
Teleop101.1
End18.5
blue by 12.0
3663
#12
146.01.4
136.4137.8
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
Second
4682
#20
116.90.5
109.0108.5
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1
blue by 21.2
3826
#13
138.11.2
119.3120.5
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3
Third
4683
#35
100.90.8
98.397.5
Auto13.4
Teleop84.1
End7.5
blue by 12.0
1595
#31
113.00.7
124.6123.9
Auto15.0
Teleop89.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed