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Red90
468185.5
4077133.9
5827121.0
Blue190
4060103.0
3268114.5
488158.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25529910020040050090190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4077
#10
133.96.7
127.5134.2
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End10.6
blue by 24.2
488
#2
158.16.2
134.1140.3
Auto19.8
Teleop123.4
End15.7
Second
5827
#32
121.03.6
116.1119.7
Auto16.0
Teleop93.4
End10.5
red by 6.5
3268
#24
114.54.6
107.1111.7
Auto14.9
Teleop89.8
End12.4
Third
4681
#39
85.51.2
105.1103.9
Auto13.1
Teleop70.3
End1.5
blue by 17.5
4060
#30
103.01.8
112.5114.3
Auto16.6
Teleop81.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed