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Red428
4512120.4
1318163.9
3786111.5
Blue36
4089118.2
1595113.0
2907111.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692735010015020025030035040042836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.91.5
141.5143.0
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
red by 45.7
4089
#11
118.23.8
115.6119.4
Auto15.4
Teleop94.4
End9.9
Second
4512
#18
120.42.1
109.5111.6
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
red by 7.5
1595
#31
113.02.6
125.0122.5
Auto15.0
Teleop89.2
End11.4
Third
3786
#26
111.50.5
102.2102.7
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End4.7
red by 0.5
2907
#36
111.10.6
128.0127.4
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed