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Red192
4469138.8
2980131.2
4682116.9
Blue510
2930153.3
2910168.0
2605140.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241359100200300400500600192510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#19
138.80.5
133.3132.8
Auto14.1
Teleop105.1
End23.4
blue by 29.2
168.01.0
157.5158.5
Auto19.2
Teleop124.8
End22.9
Second
2980
#21
131.23.2
117.9121.1
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
blue by 22.1
2930
#22
153.32.6
128.6131.2
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
Third
4682
#20
116.90.3
108.2108.5
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1
blue by 23.4
140.33.2
121.8125.0
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned