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Red431
4180121.8
3238148.6
2980131.2
Blue136
1294108.4
1899115.9
2907111.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102710100200400500600431136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#15
148.62.8
129.1131.9
Auto23.5
Teleop105.3
End24.0
red by 32.7
1899
#25
115.93.5
112.9116.5
Auto15.0
Teleop93.2
End8.8
Second
2980
#21
131.20.7
121.1121.9
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
red by 20.2
2907
#36
111.14.0
127.4123.4
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End3.5
Third
4180
#27
121.80.1
119.1119.0
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End13.0
red by 13.4
1294
#38
108.41.4
117.0115.6
Auto14.8
Teleop80.5
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed