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Red244
4683100.9
1595113.0
2930153.3
Blue360
4915169.4
3826138.1
3268114.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113470100300400500600244360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#22
153.35.4
131.2136.6
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
blue by 16.1
169.42.5
156.9159.4
Auto23.6
Teleop119.9
End27.1
Second
1595
#31
113.05.3
122.5117.1
Auto15.0
Teleop89.2
End11.4
blue by 25.1
3826
#13
138.11.7
126.5128.2
Auto15.4
Teleop110.6
End13.3
Third
4683
#35
100.90.2
97.096.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.1
End7.5
blue by 13.6
3268
#24
114.51.0
112.1111.2
Auto14.9
Teleop89.8
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed