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Red262
2930153.3
4060103.0
3663146.0
Blue278
1294108.4
4450164.3
360163.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318335150200250300400450500262278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#22
153.34.3
145.3149.6
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
blue by 11.0
164.31.4
159.5160.8
Auto17.8
Teleop126.9
End20.4
Second
3663
#12
146.00.2
147.1146.9
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
blue by 17.6
360
#6
163.62.2
159.2161.4
Auto24.6
Teleop119.2
End20.5
Third
4060
#30
103.01.5
106.1104.6
Auto16.6
Teleop81.2
End7.5
blue by 5.4
1294
#38
108.41.0
110.2109.2
Auto14.8
Teleop80.5
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed