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Red291
2605140.3
4469138.8
1899115.9
Blue285
3268114.5
468185.5
1318163.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012670100200400500600291285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.30.9
137.3138.2
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End20.1
blue by 23.7
163.93.1
155.5158.6
Auto20.0
Teleop121.9
End25.8
Second
4469
#19
138.81.9
134.1135.9
Auto14.1
Teleop105.1
End23.4
red by 24.2
3268
#24
114.51.3
112.1113.4
Auto14.9
Teleop89.8
End12.4
Third
1899
#25
115.90.7
114.4115.1
Auto15.0
Teleop93.2
End8.8
red by 30.4
4681
#39
85.52.0
88.686.6
Auto13.1
Teleop70.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed