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Red436
2980131.2
3070138.8
4077133.9
Blue140
4682116.9
1595113.0
3238148.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328285100200400500600436140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#23
138.81.1
139.2138.1
Auto19.0
Teleop103.9
End15.5
blue by 9.8
3238
#15
148.62.4
142.6144.9
Auto23.5
Teleop105.3
End24.0
Second
4077
#10
133.90.3
131.0131.3
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End10.6
red by 17.0
4682
#20
116.92.5
110.3112.9
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End14.1
Third
2980
#21
131.21.6
127.0128.7
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
red by 18.3
1595
#31
113.00.0
113.6113.6
Auto15.0
Teleop89.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed