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Red306
4915169.4
4512120.4
4205134.0
Blue407
2147130.5
4450164.3
2930153.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329339200250300400450500306407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.41.9
163.4165.3
Auto23.6
Teleop119.9
End27.1
red by 5.1
164.30.8
160.8161.6
Auto17.8
Teleop126.9
End20.4
Second
4205
#29
134.00.1
133.9134.0
Auto15.6
Teleop101.1
End18.5
blue by 19.3
2930
#22
153.32.2
149.6151.8
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
Third
4512
#18
120.40.8
120.7119.9
Auto18.9
Teleop95.5
End6.4
blue by 10.1
130.50.6
123.5124.2
Auto19.6
Teleop103.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed