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Red405
3663146.0
4180121.8
360163.6
Blue170
3070138.8
2903118.1
4911166.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317319200250300350400405170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#6
163.61.3
161.4162.7
Auto24.6
Teleop119.2
End20.5
blue by 2.7
166.30.5
166.3166.7
Auto20.6
Teleop128.6
End15.3
Second
3663
#12
146.00.8
146.9146.1
Auto16.0
Teleop112.4
End16.8
red by 7.2
3070
#23
138.80.6
138.1138.8
Auto19.0
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Third
4180
#27
121.80.5
121.3121.8
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End13.0
red by 3.7
2903
#34
118.12.3
115.8118.1
Auto14.1
Teleop97.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed