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Red206
2980131.2
3268114.5
1294108.4
Blue343
360163.6
3070138.8
4915169.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443060100200400500600700800206343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#21
131.28.2
95.8104.1
Auto16.3
Teleop98.2
End17.6
blue by 38.2
169.46.6
116.2122.8
Auto23.6
Teleop119.9
End27.1
Second
3268
#24
114.59.0
86.895.8
Auto14.9
Teleop89.8
End12.4
blue by 49.1
360
#6
163.66.0
114.3120.4
Auto24.6
Teleop119.2
End20.5
Third
1294
#38
108.47.8
99.2107.1
Auto14.8
Teleop80.5
End12.4
blue by 30.4
3070
#23
138.86.9
96.2103.1
Auto19.0
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed