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Red115
7118105.8
2930153.3
3786111.5
Blue341
4060103.0
4173115.0
4911166.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432900100200400500600700800115341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#22
153.36.2
112.7118.9
Auto24.6
Teleop112.1
End20.7
blue by 13.0
166.38.8
114.9123.7
Auto20.6
Teleop128.6
End15.3
Second
3786
#26
111.510.2
85.195.3
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End4.7
blue by 3.5
4173
#16
115.08.5
86.795.2
Auto15.3
Teleop88.8
End15.0
Third
7118
#28
105.87.7
77.785.4
Auto15.0
Teleop81.8
End11.1
red by 2.8
4060
#30
103.05.9
96.9102.8
Auto16.6
Teleop81.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed