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Red396
360159.3
2910222.1
948148.6
Blue135
4692120.5
4180108.7
1318203.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142370100200300500600700800396135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222.10.3
220.2220.0
Auto20.8
Teleop171.3
End30.3
red by 18.6
1318
#11
203.50.0
203.6203.6
Auto23.4
Teleop146.1
End34.8
Second
360
#25
159.30.8
168.5167.8
Auto21.2
Teleop124.5
End13.4
red by 38.8
120.51.7
112.8114.5
Auto18.0
Teleop92.7
End10.0
Third
948
#8
148.61.4
154.1152.7
Auto20.7
Teleop114.9
End14.2
red by 39.9
4180
#26
108.70.7
118.5117.8
Auto16.4
Teleop85.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed