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Red377
4469154.0
3663176.6
2976166.9
Blue215
6343148.4
6350115.4
2811180.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022820100200500600700800377215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.60.1
169.6169.6
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End26.5
blue by 4.1
2811
#28
180.70.8
187.8187.0
Auto21.0
Teleop143.3
End12.1
Second
166.90.2
167.9167.7
Auto18.8
Teleop136.9
End10.9
red by 18.6
6343
#17
148.41.5
145.3146.8
Auto21.6
Teleop109.4
End15.9
Third
4469
#19
154.00.6
151.2151.8
Auto17.6
Teleop114.7
End20.4
red by 38.5
6350
#14
115.41.7
104.8106.5
Auto17.6
Teleop86.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed