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Red378
1983153.9
2910199.2
5827120.5
Blue298
4488170.2
3218169.9
4512126.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361322200300400500600378298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.20.6
197.9198.6
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 29.0
170.20.6
169.1169.7
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
153.90.2
153.5153.7
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
blue by 16.0
169.90.3
169.4169.7
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Third
5827
#14
120.50.2
120.0120.3
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
blue by 5.7
4512
#33
126.20.3
125.6125.9
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0