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Red395
1983153.9
2910199.2
5827120.5
Blue239
4488170.2
3218169.9
4512126.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364319200400500600395239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.20.6
198.6199.2
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 29.0
170.20.5
169.7170.2
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
153.90.2
153.7153.9
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
blue by 16.0
169.90.2
169.7169.9
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Third
5827
#14
120.50.2
120.3120.5
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
blue by 5.7
4512
#33
126.20.3
125.9126.2
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0