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Red327
2412145.4
5748126.0
3268118.8
Blue106
4180118.5
468193.0
4173117.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452200100300400500600327106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#17
145.40.4
142.6143.0
Auto15.2
Teleop109.2
End20.7
red by 27.0
4180
#28
118.51.4
122.6123.9
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
Second
5748
#15
126.01.1
115.9117.0
Auto18.7
Teleop93.6
End15.2
red by 8.8
4173
#21
117.21.0
115.7114.7
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End14.1
Third
3268
#22
118.80.4
115.8116.2
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End5.1
red by 25.7
4681
#30
93.00.8
85.184.3
Auto15.1
Teleop71.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed