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Red397
2910199.2
3070141.1
4918115.5
Blue144
5827120.5
4450168.5
4682114.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512670100200400500600700800397144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.20.4
169.0169.4
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 30.7
4450
#13
168.50.1
165.2165.3
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
3070
#18
141.10.3
138.3138.0
Auto21.6
Teleop102.0
End16.6
red by 20.6
5827
#14
120.50.4
120.0119.7
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
Third
4918
#36
115.57.2
95.5102.7
Auto17.3
Teleop85.7
End12.8
red by 1.2
4682
#35
114.30.1
118.1118.0
Auto16.2
Teleop85.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed