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Red173
3070141.1
4180118.5
4309129.7
Blue372
5748126.0
3218169.9
4682114.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311319100200400500600173372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#18
141.11.1
138.4139.5
Auto21.6
Teleop102.0
End16.6
blue by 28.8
169.92.0
149.9152.0
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Second
4309
#12
129.70.1
133.1133.2
Auto18.2
Teleop88.9
End23.8
red by 3.7
5748
#15
126.01.8
118.2120.0
Auto18.7
Teleop93.6
End15.2
Third
4180
#28
118.50.1
124.4124.2
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
red by 4.2
4682
#35
114.31.0
117.3116.3
Auto16.2
Teleop85.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed