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Red143
492140.9
4060120.7
7118104.4
Blue457
2522165.4
2910199.2
3268118.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123770100300500600143457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#24
140.94.2
131.6135.8
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
blue by 58.2
199.21.8
170.5172.3
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
Second
4060
#19
120.70.9
113.6114.6
Auto17.1
Teleop93.9
End11.4
blue by 44.7
165.41.4
145.0146.4
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
Third
7118
#34
104.40.2
105.9105.7
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End11.0
blue by 14.4
3268
#22
118.80.2
116.8117.1
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed