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Red167
1294107.3
5827120.5
4915165.0
Blue371
1983153.9
3663152.6
5941111.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282337100200400500600167371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#20
165.00.3
169.4169.7
Auto24.3
Teleop116.0
End24.4
red by 11.1
153.91.4
148.9150.2
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
Second
5827
#14
120.50.6
118.8119.4
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
blue by 32.1
152.60.2
145.4145.6
Auto16.4
Teleop117.9
End20.5
Third
1294
#16
107.30.9
107.3108.2
Auto15.0
Teleop79.1
End14.7
blue by 3.9
5941
#25
111.20.4
111.9112.3
Auto13.4
Teleop87.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed