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Red254
5748126.0
2930162.1
4205123.5
Blue386
3218169.9
4488170.2
2412145.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2604150100200300500600700254386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#10
162.10.1
157.0156.9
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
blue by 8.1
170.20.9
162.7163.5
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
5748
#15
126.01.7
120.0121.8
Auto18.7
Teleop93.6
End15.2
blue by 43.9
169.92.0
152.0154.0
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Third
4205
#26
123.51.0
128.7127.7
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
blue by 21.9
2412
#17
145.41.4
144.7146.1
Auto15.2
Teleop109.2
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed