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Red413
4450168.5
7118104.4
2910199.2
Blue335
4911177.5
4077151.3
4180118.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323338250300400450413335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.22.5
172.3174.8
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 21.7
177.51.7
168.6170.3
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
Second
4450
#13
168.51.0
163.6162.6
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
red by 17.1
151.31.6
139.8141.5
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
Third
7118
#34
104.40.7
105.7105.0
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End11.0
blue by 14.1
4180
#28
118.50.9
124.2123.4
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed