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Red336
4173117.2
1258112.6
492140.9
Blue229
4060120.7
4918115.5
4512126.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012660100200400500600700336229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#24
140.91.1
135.8136.9
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
red by 14.8
4512
#33
126.20.6
119.0119.6
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
Second
4173
#21
117.20.4
111.8111.5
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End14.1
blue by 3.5
4060
#19
120.70.2
114.6114.7
Auto17.1
Teleop93.9
End11.4
Third
1258
#27
112.62.3
114.0116.3
Auto15.4
Teleop88.5
End11.7
blue by 2.9
4918
#36
115.51.9
113.2115.0
Auto17.3
Teleop85.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed