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Red408
4682114.3
2522165.4
2903130.7
Blue222
3268118.8
2980135.3
4309129.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082960100200400500600700800408222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.42.2
146.4148.6
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
red by 30.0
2980
#29
135.30.5
135.8136.2
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End13.5
Second
2903
#11
130.70.4
118.0118.4
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
red by 1.0
4309
#12
129.70.7
133.2132.5
Auto18.2
Teleop88.9
End23.8
Third
4682
#35
114.30.5
116.3115.8
Auto16.2
Teleop85.6
End10.8
blue by 4.5
3268
#22
118.81.3
117.1118.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed