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Red293
4512126.2
2522165.4
1983153.9
Blue313
5748126.0
4309129.7
2903130.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812550100200300500600700800293313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.42.6
148.6151.2
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
red by 34.6
2903
#11
130.71.1
118.4119.5
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
Second
153.91.5
150.2151.7
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
red by 24.2
4309
#12
129.71.1
132.5131.4
Auto18.2
Teleop88.9
End23.8
Third
4512
#33
126.20.5
119.6120.1
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
red by 0.2
5748
#15
126.01.3
121.8123.1
Auto18.7
Teleop93.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed