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Red332
2930162.1
3268118.8
4915165.0
Blue276
3070141.1
4077151.3
1258112.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3583020100200400500600332276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#20
165.01.1
167.9166.8
Auto24.3
Teleop116.0
End24.4
red by 13.7
151.31.5
147.0148.4
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
Second
2930
#10
162.11.1
158.3159.4
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
red by 21.0
3070
#18
141.10.1
140.8140.7
Auto21.6
Teleop102.0
End16.6
Third
3268
#22
118.80.2
120.3120.0
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End5.1
red by 6.2
1258
#27
112.60.4
113.4112.9
Auto15.4
Teleop88.5
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed