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Red410
4683116.1
4512126.2
2928139.7
Blue141
4682114.3
4180118.5
3268118.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299293150200250350400450410141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.72.6
122.8125.4
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
red by 21.0
3268
#22
118.81.2
118.7120.0
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End5.1
Second
4512
#33
126.21.0
120.3121.2
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
red by 7.7
4180
#28
118.50.6
122.3121.8
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
Third
4683
#31
116.10.9
109.2110.1
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
red by 1.8
4682
#35
114.30.1
116.3116.4
Auto16.2
Teleop85.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed