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Red345
4309129.7
4173117.2
4488170.2
Blue345
468193.0
5827120.5
1983153.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382720100200400500600700345345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.2
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
red by 16.3
153.9
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
Second
4309
#12
129.7
Auto18.2
Teleop88.9
End23.8
red by 9.2
5827
#14
120.5
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
Third
4173
#21
117.2
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End14.1
red by 24.2
4681
#30
93.0
Auto15.1
Teleop71.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed