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Red129
2903130.7
1258112.6
468193.0
Blue392
2928139.7
3663152.6
4180118.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163340100300400500600129392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2903
#11
130.70.7
118.1118.8
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
blue by 21.9
152.60.4
146.0145.6
Auto16.4
Teleop117.9
End20.5
Second
1258
#27
112.615.6
77.993.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.5
End11.7
blue by 27.1
139.70.4
110.2110.7
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
Third
4681
#30
93.00.4
85.585.1
Auto15.1
Teleop71.5
End9.6
blue by 25.4
4180
#28
118.50.8
121.8122.6
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed