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Qual 62018 PNW District Glacier Peak Event
Red365
5941111.2
3218169.9
5827120.5
Blue183
3268118.8
4683116.1
4450168.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294289200250350400365183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#3
169.91.4
145.4→146.7
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
red by 1.5
4450
#13
168.50.9
164.3→165.2
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
5827
#14
120.51.0
121.0→120.0
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
red by 1.8
3268
#22
118.81.3
114.5→115.8
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End5.1
Third
5941
#25
111.22.0
116.3→114.2
Auto13.4
Teleop87.7
End9.1
blue by 4.9
4683
#31
116.12.0
100.9→102.9
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed