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Red408
7118104.4
1983153.9
4911177.5
Blue187
5683117.4
2930162.1
949109.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462610100200300400500600408187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.3
165.7166.0
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
red by 15.4
2930
#10
162.11.5
155.1156.6
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
Second
153.91.4
143.7145.1
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
red by 36.5
5683
#23
117.40.2
113.8113.6
Auto18.5
Teleop86.1
End14.2
Third
7118
#34
104.40.9
106.6105.7
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End11.0
blue by 5.1
949
#32
109.46.9
84.691.6
Auto16.8
Teleop79.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed