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Red339
2928139.7
4682114.3
949109.4
Blue318
4683116.1
2930162.1
4918115.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303325100200400500600339318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.73.2
125.4128.7
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
blue by 22.4
2930
#10
162.10.7
156.7157.4
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
Second
4682
#35
114.30.6
116.4115.8
Auto16.2
Teleop85.6
End10.8
blue by 1.8
4683
#31
116.11.8
110.1111.9
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
Third
949
#32
109.41.8
102.0103.8
Auto16.8
Teleop79.3
End14.3
blue by 6.0
4918
#36
115.50.3
119.2118.9
Auto17.3
Teleop85.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed