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Red392
3663152.6
2522165.4
4911177.5
Blue244
4512126.2
3070141.1
4915165.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406291100200500600700800392244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.8
172.9173.7
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
red by 12.5
4915
#20
165.00.1
168.6168.5
Auto24.3
Teleop116.0
End24.4
Second
165.42.2
154.6156.8
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
red by 24.3
3070
#18
141.10.5
140.4140.8
Auto21.6
Teleop102.0
End16.6
Third
152.61.8
149.0150.8
Auto16.4
Teleop117.9
End20.5
red by 26.4
4512
#33
126.21.9
121.2123.1
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed