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Red439
4180118.5
2903130.7
2910199.2
Blue262
3218169.9
4205123.5
4060120.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532720100200400500600700800439262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.23.0
184.1187.1
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 29.2
169.92.9
159.7162.6
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Second
2903
#11
130.72.0
122.7124.7
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
red by 7.2
4205
#26
123.51.0
124.6123.6
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
Third
4180
#28
118.51.2
121.8120.6
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
blue by 2.2
4060
#19
120.70.8
115.7116.5
Auto17.1
Teleop93.9
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed